O problema das médias no gerenciamento de projetos
Resumo:
As novas tecnologias e práticas gerenciais oferecem uma maneira melhor de entender e controlar os riscos de um projeto. A simulação computacional interativa proporciona gráficos intuitivos sobre riscos que podem ser utilizados na detecção e controle de riscos ocultos, mesmo por parte de quem não seja um especialista em estatística. A função DIST (Distribution String) estabelece um padrão necessário para a comunicação de entrada/saída das incertezas em projetos, permitindo aos especialistas da organização compartilharem seus conhecimentos sobre as incertezas em termos de prazos, custos e demais fatores de forma inequívoca com os demais gerentes de vários níveis.
Publicado: MundoPM - Abr/Mai 2011
Pág. 10
::: Autor do artigo
Sam Savage
He is author of The Flaw of Averages: Why We Underestimate Risk in the Face of Uncertainty (John Wiley & Sons, 2009, 2012), and Chancification: How to Fix the Flaw of Averages (2022). He is cofounder of the discipline of probability management https://probabilitymanagement.org Chairman of Vector Economics, a Consulting Professor...
John Hinton
Vice-President and CFO of DeMattei Construction, a large residential contractor in San Jose California. At DeMattei he has managed and tracked the financials of over 1,000 projects. He has served at several start-ups, and held positions at Coopers & Lybrand, and Bechtel during which he worked in the areas...
Marc Thibault
Independent consultant with a twenty-year practice focused on technical analysis, design and planning. His clients have included a large fraction of the Canadian federal government’s departments and a variety of high-tech companies. His earlier experience includes over a decade of marketing and technology roles at Xerox, and senior management...
